Results of the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh elections are out, and this will reflect a lot on the general elections of 2019. BJP have won Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, which is no surprise but the margins are what is important to analyse.
Gujarat has always been BJP territory, but this time BJP have won by a lower margin with the Congress. Which is a concern, given that their PM, Narendra Modi has a huge following there. Out of the 182 seats BJP have won a 102, while INC took over 76 seats. Compared to the last elections in 2012, BJP had won 116 Seats while INC had won 60 seats. This is a major fall in number of seats occupied by the BJP.
Congress has a potential in the future in Gujarat with young challengers to the BJP Jignesh Mewani, Alpesh Thakor and Lalit Vasoya. Currently BJP has powerhouses of Chief Minister Vijay Rupano, Deputy Chief Minister NNitin Patel and BJP state Chief Jitu Vaghani who have helped BJP in 2017’s election. BJP has been in power since 1995, thanks to Narendara Modi’s and BJP chief Amit Shah’s influence.
In Himachal Pradesh BJP took a big stride forward with 44 seats compared to INC winning only 20 seats. The BJP with this win has dethroned Congress from the hilly capital. The most probable choice for Chief Minister in Himanchal Pradesh is Prem Kumar Dhumal. The battle for power in Himanchal Pradesh has always swung back and forth between Congress and the BJP. In 2007 BJP had last gained control of Himanchal Pradesh. In 2012 elections INC had gained 36 seats while BJP had only claimed 26 seats.
2019 Elections will be set on such elections like Gujarat and Himanchal Pradesh with BJP set towards being a powerhouse. With Rahul Gandhi becoming INC’s president, it will be interesting to watch what their strategy will be.