Fitch Ratings on Friday said it has slashed India’s growth forecast for the current fiscal to a 30-year low of 2 percent, from 5.1 percent projected earlier, as economic recession gripped global economy following the lockdown due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
The initial disruptions to regional manufacturing supply chains from a lockdown in China as the coronavirus spread have now broadened to include local discretionary spending and exports even as parts of China return to work.
“Fitch now expects a global recession this year and recently cut our gross domestic product growth forecast for India to 2 percent for the fiscal year ending March 2021 after lowering it to 5.1 percent previously, which would make it the slowest growth in India over the past 30 years,” it said in a statement.
On March 20, Fitch had projected India’s GDP growth for 2020-21 at 5.1 per cent, lower than 5.6 per cent estimated in December 2019. Fitch also said micro, small and medium-sized enterprises and the services segment are likely to be among the most affected amid reduced consumer spending.
The challenges for India’s non-bank financial institutions (NBFI) will intensify as local measures to contain the spread of the coronavirus exert pressure on their operating performance and financial profiles. Government-imposed activity restrictions in India will raise operational complications for the NBFIs, while any escalation in local infections would deal a blow to economic sentiment.
(Source: The Economic Times, Bloomberg Quint)